On roads posted 50 mph or more, a third of pedestrian crashes are fatal

Where the posted limit was 50 mph or more, 33% of pedestrian crashes killed the person on foot (1,884 of 5,705). On all slower roads together it was 6.3% (1,616 of 25,666).

The numbers

Share of pedestrian crashes that killed the person on foot
  • Posted 50 mph or more
  • Slower roads

Walking crashes, 2021–2026 (2026 so far). Found in 2021–2023 (35% vs 7.3%); held in 2024–2026 (30% vs 5.5%).

What it doesn't say

The posted limit, not the speed the driver was going; crash reports give the limit for most crashes.

The share is within crashes: with no counts of how many people walk, ride or drive where, it can't say how likely a crash is for anyone.

How it was found

A scan of the crash records found it in the earlier years, among thousands of patterns tested with a false-discovery control, and it held in the later years, which the scan never saw. A person then read it and checked it isn't an artefact of how crashes are recorded. The numbers above are recomputed from the data each time the site is rebuilt. All findings and the method

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