Even in a crosswalk at an intersection, crashes at night on a lit street are about three times as deadly

Among pedestrian crashes in a crosswalk at an intersection, 6% of those in the dark on a street with lights were fatal (517 of 8,622), against 2.1% in other light (373 of 17,729).

The numbers

Crosswalk crashes at intersections: share fatal
  • Dark, street lit
  • Other light

Walking crashes, 2021–2026 (2026 so far). Found in 2021–2023 (6.8% vs 2.3%); held in 2024–2026 (5.2% vs 1.9%).

What it doesn't say

Street lights were on in these crashes; the reports do not say how well lit the crossing was.

The share is within crashes: with no counts of how many people walk, ride or drive where, it can't say how likely a crash is for anyone.

How it was found

A scan of the crash records found it in the earlier years, among thousands of patterns tested with a false-discovery control, and it held in the later years, which the scan never saw. A person then read it and checked it isn't an artefact of how crashes are recorded. The numbers above are recomputed from the data each time the site is rebuilt. All findings and the method

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