Bike crashes in the dark with no street lights are about seven times as often fatal

Of bike crashes in the dark on unlit roads, 9.5% killed the rider (138 of 1,456), against 1.3% in all other lighting (718 of 55,543).

The numbers

Share of bike crashes that killed the rider
  • Dark, no street lights
  • Other lighting

Cycling crashes, 2021–2026 (2026 so far). Found in 2021–2023 (11% vs 1.5%); held in 2024–2026 (7.7% vs 1.1%).

What it doesn't say

Unlit roads are often rural and faster; the share says how often these crashes kill, not how many people ride there.

The share is within crashes: with no counts of how many people walk, ride or drive where, it can't say how likely a crash is for anyone.

How it was found

A scan of the crash records found it in the earlier years, among thousands of patterns tested with a false-discovery control, and it held in the later years, which the scan never saw. A person then read it and checked it isn't an artefact of how crashes are recorded. The numbers above are recomputed from the data each time the site is rebuilt. All findings and the method

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