On roads posted 50 mph or more, head-on motorcycle crashes kill about one rider in four

On roads posted 50 mph or more, 23% of head-on motorcycle crashes were fatal (118 of 524), against 3.9% of the other crashes on those roads (1,215 of 31,409).

The numbers

Roads posted 50 mph or more: share of crashes fatal
  • Head-on
  • Other crashes

Motorcycling crashes, 2021–2026 (2026 so far). Found in 2021–2023 (23% vs 4.5%); held in 2024–2026 (22% vs 3.2%).

What it doesn't say

Head-on crashes are a small share of motorcycle crashes; on fast two-lane roads they include a car or a rider over the centre line in a bend.

The share is within crashes: with no counts of how many people walk, ride or drive where, it can't say how likely a crash is for anyone.

How it was found

A scan of the crash records found it in the earlier years, among thousands of patterns tested with a false-discovery control, and it held in the later years, which the scan never saw. A person then read it and checked it isn't an artefact of how crashes are recorded. The numbers above are recomputed from the data each time the site is rebuilt. All findings and the method

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